Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.009873 0.011155 0.012564 0.014230 0.016152 0.018305 0.020908
2024-12-15 0.007775 0.009481 0.011526 0.014174 0.017535 0.021692 0.027270
2024-12-22 0.006388 0.008176 0.010442 0.013553 0.017761 0.023325 0.031352
2024-12-29 0.005610 0.007468 0.009930 0.013480 0.018546 0.025633 0.036516
2025-01-05 0.005258 0.007249 0.009999 0.014143 0.020354 0.029518 0.044448
2025-01-12 0.004631 0.006565 0.009324 0.013631 0.020347 0.030696 0.048404
2025-01-19 0.004156 0.006040 0.008807 0.013270 0.020487 0.032063 0.052802
2025-01-26 0.003848 0.005727 0.008565 0.013286 0.021197 0.034395 0.059144
2025-02-02 0.003715 0.005663 0.008689 0.013887 0.022920 0.038622 0.069509
2025-02-09 0.003446 0.005359 0.008401 0.013768 0.023386 0.040698 0.076185
2025-02-16 0.003256 0.005162 0.008265 0.013885 0.024270 0.043627 0.084994
2025-02-23 0.003029 0.004884 0.007966 0.013679 0.024528 0.045390 0.091689
2025-03-02 0.002896 0.004762 0.007935 0.013976 0.025817 0.049436 0.104245
2025-03-09 0.002722 0.004555 0.007737 0.013948 0.026482 0.052347 0.114928
2025-03-16 0.002479 0.004208 0.007261 0.013337 0.025891 0.052528 0.119233
2025-03-23 0.002337 0.004029 0.007073 0.013266 0.026405 0.055166 0.130065
2025-03-30 0.002302 0.004041 0.007239 0.013917 0.028533 0.061743 0.152403
2025-04-06 0.002126 0.003778 0.006861 0.013413 0.028063 0.062210 0.158527
2025-04-13 0.001984 0.003568 0.006569 0.013059 0.027885 0.063354 0.166794
2025-04-20 0.001894 0.003453 0.006455 0.013075 0.028564 0.066713 0.182257
2025-04-27 0.001872 0.003467 0.006598 0.013665 0.030679 0.074079 0.211701
2025-05-04 0.001780 0.003335 0.006433 0.013548 0.031056 0.076925 0.227628
2025-05-11 0.001716 0.003256 0.006372 0.013663 0.032027 0.081550 0.250667